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Novogradac Launches Predictive Tool for QCT Status

Affordable housing developers now have a digital method to forecast which census tracts will achieve Qualified Census Tract status. The new estimator from Novogradac provides early insight into eligibility for the 30% basis boost, a critical financial lever for projects utilizing low-income housing tax credits.

Novogradac Launches Predictive Tool for QCT Status

The tool arrives as developers struggle to bridge financing gaps for rental projects. By analyzing census data, the estimator flags whether specific tracts are likely to retain, lose, or gain QCT status, allowing firms to pivot their application strategies before official HUD announcements, which typically arrive in the fall. The software covers both 9% credit allocations and 4% credits paired with private activity bonds.

According to managing partner Michael J. Novogradac, the platform addresses a persistent need for forward-looking data in a sector defined by thin margins. Thomas Stagg, the partner who spearheaded the project, noted that the tool transforms how developers approach early-stage financial planning. Access to the data is available via the company's website, with tiered pricing starting at $500 for regional or state-specific datasets.

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